Katsu Yen Release Notice

The Traderclub Forum: Traders Club Bulletins: System Release Notices: Katsu Yen Release Notice

By
webmaster (Admin) on Monday, July 12, 1999 - 08:24 pm:

Chuck Le Beau's System Traders Club Announces

THE "KATSU" YEN TRADING SYSTEM

Two Systems in One - Counter-trend and Trend-following - 66% Winning Trades

Background: "KATSU" is the Japanese word for VICTORY. We consider the Katsu Yen system to be a victory in our search for a counter-trend system that will make money while our trend-following systems may be temporarily losing money or out of the market. This highly adaptable system is also capable of being an excellent trend-following system that buys dips in an uptrend and sells rallies in a downtrend. The Katsu Yen system is strong enough to be used as a stand alone system or it can be used in conjunction with the 7-11 and First Sword Yen systems as part of a multiple system strategy.

Strengths of the system: The Katsu system does not require trends to trade profitably. It has been designed to trade back and forth within a broad trading range by selling near the top of the range and buying near the lows. However the system is highly adaptable and during trending periods the system quickly adjusts to become an excellent trend-following system. The system is reasonably accurate with 66 percent winning trades (78 winners out of 119 trades), with the winning trades clearly larger than the losing trades by a factor of 1.81 to 1. The average trade (win and loss) was $1,029 which we believe is a very acceptable number. Trading one contract since 10/17/88 would have resulted in a hypothetical gain of $122,550 with a maximum drawdown of $8,700. Although it is unlikely to be repeated, this system demonstrated a remarkable ratio of consecutive winning and losing trades. During our test data the Katsu system showed 17 consecutive winners with only 4 consecutive losers. The profit factor overall (gains divided by losses) was a healthy 3.45.

Weaknesses of the system: The Katsu system has a relatively large historical drawdown of $8,700 which could foreseeably be exceeded in actual trading. The system was designed to be traded in the day session futures market in Chicago. The Yen trades actively in the cash market on a 24 hour basis so much of the important price activity is taking place while the Chicago futures markets are closed. Therefore the Yen futures market is often prone to wide opening price gaps and sudden surges in volatility. Because the Katsu system will sometimes become a trend-following system there is some possible duplication or overlap with our other Yen systems . The good news is that when the Yen is trending strongly, having three well-designed trend-following systems in operation can be extremely profitable. The bad news is that having multiple positions in the same direction would create a great deal of risk if the market were to change directions abruptly.

Summary: The Katsu Yen system was specifically designed to enhance and complement the 7-11 and First Sword Yen systems and it is particularly noteworthy in terms of its special ability to trade profitably in non-trending periods. However the system also displays excellent trend-following characteristics which make it a highly profitable dual-purpose system that could easily serve as an excellent stand-alone system. We think the simple logic of the entries and exits is very sound.

HYPOTHETICAL OR SIMULATED PERFORMANCE RESULTS HAVE CERTAIN INHERENT LIMITATIONS. UNLIKE AN ACTUAL PERFORMANCE RECORD, SIMULATED RESULTS DO NOT REPRESENT ACTUAL TRADING. ALSO, SINCE THE TRADES HAVE NOT ACTUALLY BEEN EXECUTED, THE RESULTS MAY HAVE UNDER-OR-OVER COMPENSATED FOR THE IMPACT, IF ANY, OF CERTAIN MARKET FACTORS SUCH AS LACK OF LIQUIDITY. SIMULATED TRADING PROGRAMS IN GENERAL ARE ALSO SUBJECT TO THE FACT THAT THEY ARE DESIGNED WITH THE BENEFIT OF HINDSIGHT. NO REPRESENTATION IS BEING MADE THAT ANY ACCOUNT WILL OR IS LIKELY TO ACHIEVE PROFITS OR LOSSES SIMILAR TO THOSE SHOWN.

PAST PERFORMANCE IS NOT NECESSARILY INDICATIVE OF FUTURE RESULTS.

The Katsu Yen System is priced at $250.00 and comes with complete documentation, fully disclosed rules and ELA code for TradeStation and SuperCharts 4.0. To purchase the system using your credit card phone 310 265-9776 or send by fax to 310 265-9556. Members may also use our online order form on the web site at http://traderclub.com/systems_order.htm

For more details about system performance including an equity chart and a complete trade by trade report please go to http://traderclub.com/systems_katsu.htm

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